ICM poll results – election week 2

An ICM poll carried out from the 9th to the 11th of April released its findings just before the Tory manifesto launch today, revealing an overwhelming expectancy for a Conservative win in the coming election. When asked to name whom they expect to hold the Downing Street position after May 6th, regardless of their own preferences, 58% of respondents named David Cameron, against only a 28% response for Gordon Brown. It largely coincides with the percentage of people who think it is time for a change in power (63%), while only 26% trust continuity is the way to go. The ones asking for change include as much as a third of people who gave the Labour their backing in 2005. Geographically, The Labour still hold the lead in the North of England, and Scotland, but are at a disadvantage in the south, as well as the Midlands.

When it comes down to actually leaving their mark on polling day, only 55% of the people interviewed declared they were certain to vote (up by three points compared to results from a week earlier). The study was carried out on 1,024 adults aged 18 and over, through telephone polling acrossing the country, by ICM Research.

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